3-year Market Scenario
On July 11, 2017, the National Police Agency announced the “Draft Regulation Partially Amending the Ordinance for Enforcement of the Act on Control and Improvement of Amusement Business, etc. and the Regulations for the Verification of Licenses, Formats and Other Aspects of Pachinko and Pachislot Machines,” including pachinko payout regulations, and this is expected to come into force on February 1, 2018. FIELDS has developed its forecast for the pachinko and pachislot market for the coming 3 years (Table 1) in the light of these regulatory reforms.
- (Table 1) Market scale of pachinko and pachislot
* FIELDS’ estimate
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 PS sales market ¥860.0billion ¥782.1billion ¥731.7billion ¥688.1billion–¥795.6billion Total PS market ¥2.77trillion ¥2.72trillion ¥2.68trillion ¥2.64trillion–¥2.83trillion
The pachinko and pachislot machine sales market refers to the scale of the market for new pachinko and pachislot machines.
The total pachinko and pachislot market indicates total expenses including investment by pachinko halls in the purchase of pachinko and pachislot machines, marketing costs, and PR expenses and more.
- (Figure 1) Market scale of pachinko and pachislot
Pachinko and pachislot
machines sales market
The pachinko and pachislot sales market for fiscal 2016 had an estimated value of approximately ¥860 billion. (Figure 1) We expect that regulatory reform will still be underway during fiscal 2017 and 2018, and consequently, we do not hold an optimistic outlook for sales of new machines. Meanwhile, we hope that the impact from regulation revisions will ease by fiscal 2019, when we will be able to rejuvenate the market by launching highly entertaining pachinko and pachislot machines.
Total pachinko and pachislot
The total pachinko and pachislot market is estimated to be worth approximately ¥2.7 trillion. (Figure 1) A minor reduction is forecast, similar to the pachinko and pachislot machine sales market, for fiscal 2016. However, we hope a recovery will also be possible for the total pachinko and pachislot market through the launch of pachinko and pachislot machines that can gain market acceptance.